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Archives / 2018 / March
  • Forex in Focus - NZD/USD

    30 March 2018 By Matthew Weller CFA, CMT

    NZD/USD is consolidating near some critical technical levels ahead of a big week for economic data

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  • Aussie caught out as it hits 2018 lows

    28 March 2018 By Jamie Dutta

    The aussie has hit a new low for the year today as the risk-off environment pervades the market once more. With commodities struggling, led by a near 20% decline in iron ore prices this month, there …

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  • Euro breaks out of compression - 2018 high in sight?

    27 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    After noting the US dollar index was showing signs of compression last week, we’ve been on the lookout for volatility to broadly hit the USD since. And with WTI and Gold testing highs and Euro breaking out of compression, we suspect the next phase of volatility is underway for markets.

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  • Forex In Focus - GBP/CAD

    26 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    GBP/CAD has been the strongest performer among Sterling crosses this past month, so after a minor retracement from the highs we’re seeking bullish setups on the pair. We also take a look at the FX calendar for the week ahead.

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  • USDJPY breaks 105 as trade war heats up

    23 March 2018

    The Japanese yen and Swiss franc remained the favoured currencies today and it is interesting to note that USD/JPY made little effort to reclaim the 105 handle after effortlessly breaking beneath it yesterday. And with the first steps of a trade war now in place, we await the reaction from European and US trading floors.

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  • Is USD volatility about to return?

    22 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    With the bearish trend remaining far from challenged on the US dollar index (DXY), we note that volatility is showing signs of picking up. And with Trump due to announce fresh tariffs later today we’re on the lookout for the next round of range expansion.

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  • Forex in Focus - USD/CAD

    21 March 2018 By Jamie Dutta

    USD/CAD uptrend has paused at key structural levels. With ongoing trade issues, the FOMC and key Canadian data looming large, we take a technical look at this major.

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  • Forex In Focus - GBP/AUD

    19 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    Friday's break above 1.80 takes GBP/AUD to its' highest level since the days following Brexit. With UK CPI and BoE's meeting making up just some of the data flow specific to GBP/AUD, the potential for volatility to remain could be high.

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  • EUR/CHF coils at the highs - breakout pending?

    16 March 2018

    It’s been another turbulent week in the FX space with potential trade wars, moves in the Canadian dollar and Japanese yen accounting towards the bulk of the hype. But if you missed the moves, focus on where volatility may spring next. And one such pair we’re closely watching for this very reason is EUR/CHF.

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  • AUD/JPY - bears lick their lips as resistance cluster holds

    15 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    In the same way it can take a long time to turn a large ship, the same can be said for a change of long-term trend. And if clues on the AUD/JPY weekly chart are anything to go by, we may need to hold into our hats as bearish momentum has been picking up after a multi-month turnaround.

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  • CAD/JPY bears are at it again

    14 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    With the rate at which Canadian Dollars have been thrown overboard recently, you’d be forgiven for thinking they were on fire. As for JPY, the annual repatriation of the Yen and bouts of risk-off have helped it remain the strongest major this year. Place these two contrasting themes together and what you’re left with is the CAD/JPY chart.

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  • Forex In Focus - AUD/CHF

    13 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    Following its best week in 9 months amid improved risk sentiment, we explore the potential for further gains on AUD/CHF.

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  • EURNZD crouches below 2018 high

    8 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    Since bottoming in February 2017, EURNZD has produced a bullish trend structure overall. Yet since falling 5.5% from the December high it has appeared a little hesitant to re-test it. That said, we think pressure could be building for bullish momentum to return.

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  • USDCAD jumps to new highs ahead of tomorrow's BOC meeting

    6 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    BOC hold their second policy meeting of the year tomorrow, after having raised for the third time this cycle in January’s meeting. Yet whilst there has been speculation they may raise again in April, concerns surrounding NAFTA and Trump’s surprise steel and aluminium tariffs could outweigh any optimism in tomorrow’s meeting.

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  • Forex In Focus – AUD/JPY

    5 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    The Japanese Yen remains the strongest G10 currency this year, with Trump’s trade war and BOJ’s tightening hints only adding to Yen inflows. With AUDJPY having tested the 81.57 EU referendum high on Friday, we have a close eye on this pivotal level as a break beneath it assumes the resumption of its downtrend.

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  • What Powell giveth, Trump can taketh

    2 March 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    The USD has spent the best part of the week supported by Powell’s testimony. Yet it now seems that, at least where USD strength is concerned, what Powell giveth, Trump can taketh away.

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