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Archives / 2018 / February
  • Are cracks appearing on the Euro?

    28 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    The US dollar has been given a boost by Jerome Powell’s hawkish hints during his first testimony yesterday. With that in mind, we question the potential for the US dollar index to extend gains and whether 2017’s pain trade could see EURUSD reverse more than some are prepared for.

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  • Powell’s hawkish hint hurts stocks, boosts buck

    27 February 2018 By Matthew Weller CFA, CMT

    All in all, Powell appears to have acquitted himself relatively well in his first public appearance as the Fed chairman. Powell’s prepared remarks were notably short and generally optimistic, setting the tone for a similarly upbeat assessment of the US economy in the question-and-answer component of his testimony.

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  • Forex In Focus - GBPUSD

    26 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    Cable has been meandering around 1.40 for the best part of February. But with a firmly bullish daily and weekly structure and no immediate threat of over-extension, we’re keeping a close eye for bullish momentum to return.

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  • Rising rates wreck REITs

    23 February 2018 By Matthew Weller CFA, CMT

    The recent rise in treasury yields simultaneously decreases the prospect of future payout increases for REITs and makes those payments less attractive on a relative basis.

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  • CAD/JPY bears don't appear content with an 8-month low

    23 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    What appeared to be a great start to the year for CADJPY quickly turned into a rout. With the bear-camp clearly in control, we continue to seek opportunities to short CADJPY with a lower risk and higher probability entrance being the key objective.

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  • Forex in Focus - USD/JPY

    19 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    USDJPY’s break lower from a long-term range has put bears back on high alert. And whilst the downside appears over-extended over the near-term, a break of 105.44/53 could open the flood-gates to a further bout of selling.

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  • USD/JPY a harbinger of doom?

    14 February 2018 By Jamie Dutta

    USD/JPY broke through key support overnight with a strong move lower. We discuss this price action in the context of the US inflation figures due this afternoon.

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  • S&P 500: Have we seen a near-term bottom?

    13 February 2018 By Matthew Weller CFA, CMT

    According to the confluence of these three indicators, the amount of panic in the market was the highest in the last five years (with the possible exception of the US debt downgrade in 2015). Over the course of the big nearly-decade long uptrend, similar signals have proven to be near-term buying opportunities more often than not.

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  • Forex In Focus - EUR/USD

    12 February 2018

    1.2300 could prove to be a pivotal level for EUR/USD. Whilst it may continue to cap as resistance and mark the resumption of the intraday bearish trend, it could also confirm a double bottom reversal and break of trendline if bulls get their way.

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  • Forex In Focus - EUR/USD

    12 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    1.2300 could prove to be a pivotal level for EUR/USD. Whilst it may continue to cap as resistance and mark the resumption of the intraday bearish trend, it could also confirm a double bottom reversal and break of trendline if bulls get their way.

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  • Forex in Focus - GBP/USD

    8 February 2018 By Jamie Dutta

    With BoE’s ‘Super Thursday’ and Brexit talks looming large at the end of the week, we discuss the long-term and near-term price action in GBP/USD.

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  • Forex In Focus - AUD/NZD

    7 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    AUDNZD has closed beneath a key level ahead of support ahead of tomorrow’s RBNZ meeting, suggesting a larger topping pattern could be in play.

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  • NFP Reaction: Wages Wages Wages!

    2 February 2018 By Matthew Weller CFA, CMT

    At first glance, 2018 is off to a strong start. On a headline basis, the US economy created 200k net new jobs in January , slightly above the 181k expected by economists. This solid figure was also accompanied by a +12k revision to last month's jobs report.

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  • Forex In Focus - USD/JPY

    1 February 2018 By Matthew Simpson CFTe

    Despite a hawkish FED meeting, the dollar's reaction was muted and the trend remains firmly bearish. Focus now shifts to tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payroll report whilst USDJPY, a favourite for NFP traders, coils near the lows.

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